Consistency Over Logic: When Our Assumptions Affect Our Reasoning

Which description is more likely? My neighbor is an atheist, or my neighbor is an atheist and a democrat. If you picked the second option, congratulations! You just picked the illogical choice, and probably the one you’re biased to. See, the probability of my neighbor being an atheist is higher because it’s predicated on one […]

This Is How Your Outreach Becomes Affected By False Consensus Bias

We tend to base our answers, assumptions, and perceptions on our collective experiences. If you’ve never talked to a wide selection of black people about their run-ins with police, judges, etc, you’ll assume more about how blacks views the issue of politic brutality. If you’ve never made the effort to discover what particular people think […]

History Isn’t Decided By Fixed Trends

Where is history trending? How you answer that depends on your ideology. A Marxist will answer that question differently than compared to a technologist, or a Christian. But the one thing they all have in common is this… Each of their views of historical trends are impossible to prove. We don’t actually know whether history […]

Why You Gotta Be So Negative: Fortune Telling & Political Analysis

Let me guess, you think America is going to hell in a hand basket if Hillary or Trump gets elected. Where you stand on Trump decides where you stand on that question. Is Trump the worst, or is Hillary? Does America stand a chance of surviving with either of them president? I’ll give you a […]

Negatively Labeling Political Groups Based On The Actions Of A Few

This is a common occurrence in politics. It’s so common, no one seems to care how twisted the logic is. If a member of a political movement acts out of line, the opposition will rush to vilify the entire movement on the basis of that one member. This is what’s called Labeling. It’s one of […]

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