Consistency Over Logic: When Our Assumptions Affect Our Reasoning

Which description is more likely? My neighbor is an atheist, or my neighbor is an atheist and a democrat. If you picked the second option, congratulations! You just picked the illogical choice, and probably the one you’re biased to. See, the probability of my neighbor being an atheist is higher because it’s predicated on one […]

How Status Quo Bias Affects Minorities

“How it’s always been done” is the prevailing excuse for continuing any action regardless of how destructive it is. The status quo is a powerful influencer. It affects all parties involved: those deciding, those empowered by the status quo (i.e. majority), and those disadvantaged by the status quo (i.e. minority). The effect being over-comfortable with […]

This Is How Your Outreach Becomes Affected By False Consensus Bias

We tend to base our answers, assumptions, and perceptions on our collective experiences. If you’ve never talked to a wide selection of black people about their run-ins with police, judges, etc, you’ll assume more about how blacks views the issue of politic brutality. If you’ve never made the effort to discover what particular people think […]

History Isn’t Decided By Fixed Trends

Where is history trending? How you answer that depends on your ideology. A Marxist will answer that question differently than compared to a technologist, or a Christian. But the one thing they all have in common is this… Each of their views of historical trends are impossible to prove. We don’t actually know whether history […]

Illustrating The Racial Breakdown of Crime Stats Is Irrelevant

There’s nothing better (for me, personally) than having my assumptions challenged, and running into new ways of thinking about the issues. This is one of those times. This time, I had the privilege of coming across T. Greg Doucette’s twitterstorm on the irrelevance of demographic breakdown of crime stats. More specifically, how wrong the assumptions pulled […]